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  • The Fourth Turning Is Here: What the Seasons of History Tell Us about How and When This Crisis Will End
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The Fourth Turning Is Here: What the Seasons of History Tell Us about How and When This Crisis Will End Audio CD – Unabridged, July 18 2023

by Neil Howe (Author, Reader)
4.4 out of 5 stars 1,089 ratings
3.9 on Goodreads
2,410 ratings

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The visionary behind the bestselling phenomenon The Fourth Turning looks once again to America's past to predict our future in this startling and hopeful prophecy for how our present era of civil unrest will resolve over the next ten years--and what our lives will look like once it has.

Twenty-five years ago, Neil Howe and the late William Strauss dazzled the world with a provocative new theory of American history. Looking back at the last 500 years, they'd uncovered a distinct pattern: modern history moves in cycles, each one lasting roughly eighty to one hundred years, the length of a long human life, with each cycle composed of four eras--or "turnings"--that always arrive in the same order and each last about twenty years. The last of these eras--the fourth turning--was always the most perilous, a period of civic upheaval and national mobilization as traumatic and transformative as the New Deal and World War II, the Civil War, or the American Revolution.

Now, right on schedule, our own fourth turning has arrived. And so Neil Howe has returned with an extraordinary new prediction. What we see all around us--the polarization, the growing threat of civil conflict and global war--will culminate by the early 2030s in a climax that poses great danger and yet also holds great promise, perhaps even bringing on America's next golden age. Every generation alive today will play a vital role in determining how this crisis is resolved, for good or ill.

Illuminating, sobering, yet ultimately empowering, The Fourth Turning Is Here takes you back into history and deep into the collective personality of each living generation to make sense of our current crisis, explore how all of us will be differently affected by the political, social, and economic challenges we'll face in the decade to come, and reveal how our country, our communities, and our families can best prepare to meet these challenges head-on.

NOTE: When you purchase this title, the accompanying PDF will be available in your Audible Library along with the audio.

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  1. Print length
    1 pages
  2. Language
    English
  3. Publisher
    Simon & Schuster Audio
  4. Publication date
    July 18 2023
  5. Dimensions
    14.2 x 4.6 x 15.6 cm
  6. ISBN-10
    1797157817
  7. ISBN-13
    978-1797157818
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Review

"Driven by a deep sense that American democracy is at serious risk... [yet Howe predicts that] out of today's polarization and partisanship will come a new egalitarian, outward-facing, confident and unified America."

-- "New York Times"

"The riveting follow-up to The Fourth Turning...a vivid chronicle of 700 years of Anglo-American saecula...Skeptics may roll their eyes, but all readers should enjoy this wild ride by an entertaining writer who seems to have read every relevant source. A fascinating work of global history and look to the future."

-- "Kirkus Reviews (starred review)"

"Far-ranging [and] intriguing."

-- "Publishers Weekly"

About the Author

Neil Howe is an acclaimed historian, economist, and demographer and the bestselling coauthor with William Strauss of The Fourth Turning, as well as over a dozen books on demographic and social change. The nation's leading thinker on today's generations--who they are, what motivates them, and how they will shape America's future--he is managing direct of demography at Hedgeye Risk Management, an independent financial research firm, as well as president of LifeCourse Associates, which serves hundreds of corporate, nonprofit, and government clients.

Product details

  • Publisher ‏ : ‎ Simon & Schuster Audio
  • Publication date ‏ : ‎ July 18 2023
  • Edition ‏ : ‎ Unabridged
  • Language ‏ : ‎ English
  • Print length ‏ : ‎ 1 pages
  • ISBN-10 ‏ : ‎ 1797157817
  • ISBN-13 ‏ : ‎ 978-1797157818
  • Dimensions ‏ : ‎ 14.2 x 4.6 x 15.6 cm
  • 鶹 Rank: #1,879,976 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)
  • Customer Reviews:
    4.4 out of 5 stars 1,089 ratings

About the author

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Neil Howe

Neil Howe

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Neil Howe is a historian, economist, and demographer who writes and speaks frequently on generational change in American history and on long-term fiscal policy. He is cofounder of LifeCourse Associates, a marketing, HR, and strategic planning consultancy serving corporate, government, and nonprofit clients. He has coauthored six books with William Strauss, including Generations (1991), 13th Gen (1993), The Fourth Turning (1997), and Millennials Rising (2000). His other coauthored books include On Borrowed Time (1988). And more recently Millennials Go to College (2007), and Millennials in the Workplace (2010). He is also a senior associate at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, where he helps lead the CSIS "Global Aging Initiative," and a senior advisor to the Concord Coalition. He holds graduate degrees in history and economics from Yale University. He lives in Great Falls, Virginia.

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4.4 out of 5 stars
1,089 global ratings

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Customers say

Customers find the content great, impressed, and thoughtful. They say it provides incredible insights and lots of information. However, some find the book somewhat underwhelming and not for the faint of mind.

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ContentInformativeReadability
7 customers mention "Content"7 positive0 negative

Customers find the content great, impressed, and thoughtful. They say it lays out a compelling and unnerving case.

"Such good reading! Interesting." Read more

"...It lays out a compelling (and frankly unnerving) case that we are smack in the middle of a once-in-a-century societal upheaval, and that things are..." Read more

"...I have skimmed through it and am impressed with the content. I have his 'forerunner books', so this is the summarization or proposed end result...." Read more

"...A great read for a new perspective on today and the future." Read more

5 customers mention "Informative"5 positive0 negative

Customers find the book informative. They say it has incredible insights and lots of information. Readers also mention the chapter about the newest generation is the most informative.

"...The chapter regarding, the newest generation was the most informative. Howe analyzes the; trophy winning, grade inflation, and online generation...." Read more

"Incredible insights..." Read more

"lots of information..." Read more

"Interesting insights but poorly written..." Read more

3 customers mention "Readability"0 positive3 negative

Customers find the book somewhat underwhelming and not for the faint of mind.

"...Will find this book, somewhat underwhelming. On the flip side. Newer readers will enjoy this book." Read more

"...Not worth your time and it definitely wasn't worth my time or money." Read more

"Terrifyingly insightful, not for the faint of mind...." Read more

Top reviews from Canada

  • Amber D.
    5.0 out of 5 stars Incredible insights
    Reviewed in Canada on May 17, 2025
    Verified Purchase
    I loved this perspective on the cyclical nature of human history.
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  • Laurence
    5.0 out of 5 stars lots of information
    Reviewed in Canada on February 23, 2025
    Verified Purchase
    Such good reading! Interesting.
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  • Michelle Sangster
    4.0 out of 5 stars Terrifyingly insightful, not for the faint of mind.
    Reviewed in Canada on July 19, 2025
    Verified Purchase
    The Fourth Turning Is Here is not light reading. It’s dense, deeply analytical, and packed with historical references, sociological theory, and long-view predictions that will make you put the book down just to stare into the middle distance. This isn’t your casual weekend read—it’s the kind of book that rearranges how you see the world.

    Strauss and Howe’s generational theory is complex enough, but this updated version lands like a warning siren. It lays out a compelling (and frankly unnerving) case that we are smack in the middle of a once-in-a-century societal upheaval, and that things are likely to get a lot bumpier before they stabilize.

    At times, the detail can feel overwhelming—there’s a lot to absorb—but that’s part of the message: this moment in history is layered, volatile, and bigger than any one event. The book doesn’t offer quick solutions or soothing optimism. It challenges you to think historically, generationally, and strategically. And it doesn’t flinch from the hard stuff.

    If you’re looking for clarity in chaotic times and can handle the intellectual heavy lifting, this book is worth your time. Just be prepared—it may keep you up at night.
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  • 鶹 Customer
    5.0 out of 5 stars Insightful
    Reviewed in Canada on July 23, 2025
    Verified Purchase
    A thoughtful book with much to chew on. I have quoted it a lot which is a mark of a good book
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  • Edith Wenzel
    5.0 out of 5 stars Great Author - Great Book
    Reviewed in Canada on December 18, 2023
    Verified Purchase
    Obviously I haven't had time to read the whole book. I have only had it 2 days and I work 6 days a week.
    I have skimmed through it and am impressed with the content. I have his 'forerunner books', so this is the summarization or proposed end result. Very worthwhile to take the time to read over xmas.
    Helpful
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  • wajac
    3.0 out of 5 stars Applicability outside of US?
    Reviewed in Canada on December 16, 2023
    A good read and food for thought. It's based on a study of American history and it would be a stretch to apply it to countries outside the US. Each country is unique and anyone wishing to apply it to another country would need to study the history of that country. There is no grand framework that has universalapplication.
    One person found this helpful
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  • d.
    5.0 out of 5 stars eye opening
    Reviewed in Canada on February 4, 2024
    Verified Purchase
    I couldn’t get into the original book, perhaps I wasn’t ready as a Gen Xer. The cycles that Neil Howe describes are eerily obvious as is where we are headed. A great read for a new perspective on today and the future.
    3 people found this helpful
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  • Hugh Lloyd
    5.0 out of 5 stars The Predictability of Socio Economic Cycles
    Reviewed in Canada on October 27, 2023
    Verified Purchase
    The sequel to the prescient "Fourth Turning" written in 1996, it identifies the predictable characteristics of the times as we head into a turbulent period in the life cycle of our civilization.
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Top reviews from other countries

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  • The Kamakura Gardener
    5.0 out of 5 stars A fascinating look into the past, present and future!
    Reviewed in Japan on August 4, 2023
    Verified Purchase
    I prefer the digital version because it’s easier to read while traveling.
    Report
  • Moomintroll der Vierte
    5.0 out of 5 stars Beendet die mediale Märchenstunde
    Reviewed in Germany on August 18, 2024
    Verified Purchase
    **"The Fourth Turning Is Here: What the Seasons of History Tell Us about How and When This Crisis Will End"** ist ein bahnbrechendes Werk, das ohne Zweifel fünf Sterne verdient. Dieses Buch bietet eine kompromisslose, scharfsinnige Analyse der gegenwärtigen historischen und gesellschaftlichen Umwälzungen, die in ihrer Klarheit und Präzision ihresgleichen sucht. Hier sind die Gründe, warum dieses Buch so herausragend ist:

    ### Entlarvung der Märchen

    Dieses Buch räumt mit dem bequemen Märchen auf, das uns die Medien über unser vermeintlich sicheres und prosperierendes Leben im Westen verkaufen. In einer Welt, in der die Medien uns oft ein idealisiertes Bild von Stabilität und Wohlstand präsentieren, zeigt "The Fourth Turning Is Here" die harte Realität hinter der Fassade. Es konfrontiert den Leser mit der ungeschönten Wahrheit und bringt die drängenden Fragen ans Licht, die viele lieber ignorieren würden.

    ### Historische Klarheit und Präzision

    Der Autor analysiert die gegenwärtige Krisensituation durch die Linse historischer Zyklen und bietet eine unmissverständliche Erklärung für die gegenwärtigen globalen Herausforderungen. Durch eine prägnante und überzeugende Darstellung historischer Muster wird dem Leser klar, dass die aktuellen Ereignisse nicht zufällig, sondern Teil eines größeren, wiederkehrenden Zyklus sind. Diese historische Klarheit ist nicht nur informativ, sondern zwingt dazu, die gegenwärtige Lage in einem neuen Licht zu betrachten.

    ### Unverblümte Realität

    Es gibt keine Verzierungen oder Beruhigungen in diesem Buch. Stattdessen werden harte Wahrheiten auf den Tisch gelegt. Der Autor spricht Tacheles und zögert nicht, die unbequemen Aspekte der gegenwärtigen Krise anzusprechen. Diese direkte und ehrliche Herangehensweise ist erfrischend und notwendig, um die Leser aus ihrer Komfortzone zu holen und sie auf die bevorstehenden Herausforderungen vorzubereiten.

    ### Erkennbare Realität

    Die Schilderungen und Analysen im Buch sind nicht nur theoretisch, sondern lassen sich direkt auf die Realität anwenden. Der Leser wird nicht nur mit allgemeinen Konzepten konfrontiert, sondern erkennt die Relevanz und Auswirkungen der beschriebenen Entwicklungen im eigenen Alltag und in den aktuellen globalen Ereignissen. Diese greifbare Verbindung zur Realität macht die Lektüre besonders eindringlich und wirkungsvoll.

    ### Tiefgreifende Einsichten

    Das Buch liefert tiefgreifende Einsichten in die Mechanismen und Dynamiken der gesellschaftlichen Veränderung. Es bietet eine fundierte Perspektive auf die kommenden Herausforderungen und gibt dem Leser Werkzeuge an die Hand, um sich besser auf die bevorstehenden Veränderungen vorzubereiten. Diese Einsichten sind nicht nur theoretisch, sondern bieten praktische Anleitungen für den Umgang mit den Unsicherheiten der Zukunft.

    ### Fazit

    **"The Fourth Turning Is Here"** ist ein unverzichtbares Werk für alle, die bereit sind, sich den harten Wahrheiten der gegenwärtigen Krise zu stellen und die Realität hinter der wohligen Illusion des westlichen Wohlstands zu erkennen. Es ist ein kraftvolles Buch, das die Leser aufrüttelt, informiert und auf die unvermeidlichen Herausforderungen der kommenden Zeiten vorbereitet. In einer Welt, die oft von oberflächlicher Berichterstattung und Illusionen geprägt ist, liefert dieses Buch eine unerschütterliche, ehrliche Analyse, die fünf Sterne verdient. Es ist eine scharfsinnige, tiefgehende und direkt umsetzbare Lektüre für jeden, der die Wahrheit erfahren möchte.
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  • Dr. David Arelette
    5.0 out of 5 stars Great Book, Hard Work.
    Reviewed in Australia on January 23, 2025
    Verified Purchase
    This is a read that is complex and sends you back every few pages to reread a section when you have the next idea from a few pages further on - fascinating story of time and how sometimes the past creates the present and sometimes it doesn't - a book to pass a year marooned which would seen to speed past you. I passed my copy onto one of the venture partners in a start up, she seems to see the linkages that I missed, I will read it again when she returns my copy.
    Report
  • Matteo Fugazza
    5.0 out of 5 stars illuminante!
    Reviewed in Italy on March 12, 2025
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    il libro che TUTTI dovrebbero leggere
    Report
  • mathieu austry
    5.0 out of 5 stars Un livre éclairant
    Reviewed in France on December 29, 2023
    Verified Purchase
    Un des livres les plus éclairants sur notre destinée collective qu'il m'ait été donné de lire.
    Une telle hauteur de vue sur la marche du monde et sur l'Histoire permet d'éclairer et de mieux comprendre ce que nous sommes collectivement en train de vivre... et ce qui nous attend pour les (dizaines) d'années à venir.
    Report